Will India's monsoon rainfall be below 90% of the Long Period Average (LPA) by September 30, 2027?

The headline indicates a revised outlook for India's monsoon to 90% of normal. This question directly tests if the actual rainfall will fall short of this revised, already reduced, expectation, impacting agricultural output. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) defines 'normal' as 96-104% of the LPA.

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2029-08-27