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user-generated· Politics

Will the current UK Prime Minister still be in office on October 12,…

Market overview

Advocating for closer EU ties could be a politically divisive stance within their party or the electorate. This question gauges the political stability of the current leadership given such a potentially controversial policy direction.

Politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2027-10-12

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the individual holding the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on 2026-10-12 is still the Prime Minister on 2027-10-12. NO if they have been replaced or resigned before this date.

Source: user-generated

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