At least one state enacts single-payer healthcare by 2029

The success of progressive candidates advocating for single-payer systems will accelerate state-level experiments with universal healthcare. California, New York, or Colorado—states with strong progressive movements and existing task forces—are most likely to pass legislation by 2029, bypassing federal gridlock.

policy · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2029-12-31

More policy markets

• Canada's World Cup 2026 performance sparks national sports investment debate — 55% Yes
• Manchester No 10 unit operational by 2027 H1 — 80% Yes
• Burnham's proposed No 10 Manchester unit operational by December 2026 — 70% Yes
• U.S. Congress passes $2B soccer infrastructure bill by 2028 — 68% Yes
• Red states will push for state-level ACA subsidies by 2027 — 60% Yes
• Ohio’s Obamacare enrollment rebounds above 2025 peak by Q1 2027 — 60% Yes
• Democrats will introduce Medicare for All legislation by 2028 — 75% Yes
• UK government policy on violence against women stalls within 6 months — 70% Yes

Browse all policy markets →