Government shutdown occurs after midterm elections in 2026
Resolves: A federal government shutdown lasting at least 1 business day occurs between January 1, 2027, and January 31, 2027, due to failure to pass appropriations bills.
user-generated· regulatory
Government shutdown occurs after midterm elections in 2026
Market overview
A federal government shutdown will occur in Q1 2027 due to the expiration of the continuing resolution passed in September 2026, with negotiations collapsing over partisan disagreements on spending levels. This will follow post-election political shifts and the return of more contentious budget debates.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2027-01-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A federal government shutdown lasting at least 1 business day occurs between January 1, 2027, and January 31, 2027, due to failure to pass appropriations bills.
Source: user-generated
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