Will any New York statewide referendum on the ballot in November 2028 fail to pass due to new restrictions enacted in 2028?

If Democrats succeed in enacting new controls over referenda, these changes could impact the outcome of future ballot measures. This question assesses whether any potential new restrictions would be effective enough to alter the results of referenda on the 2024 ballot.

Implied probability (Yes)

35%

Closes

2030-08-31