Turkey rejoins F-35 program by 2027-03-31
Resolves: US Department of Defense issues formal certification allowing Turkey to rejoin the F-35 program and first F-35 aircraft are delivered to Turkey by this date.
user-generated· regulatory
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by 2027-03-31
Market overview
Vice President Vance confirmed the Pentagon is reviewing legal and technical steps to allow Turkey's re-entry into the F-35 program despite its S-400 system. Given NATO summit dynamics and U.S.-Turkey trade incentives, certification and initial deliveries are likely by Q1 2027.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
US Department of Defense issues formal certification allowing Turkey to rejoin the F-35 program and first F-35 aircraft are delivered to Turkey by this date.
Source: user-generated
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