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S&P 500 rises above 6,000 by end of 2026

Resolves: The S&P 500 index closes above 6,000 on the last trading day of 2026.

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S&P 500 rises above 6,000 by end of 2026

Market overview

The S&P 500 has shown resilience despite macro uncertainty, and a Fed rate cut would likely trigger a risk-on rally. Analysts at major banks are revising year-end targets upward, with some forecasting new highs by December.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

The S&P 500 index closes above 6,000 on the last trading day of 2026.

Source: user-generated

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