Oil prices rise above $100 per barrel by December 2026 due to Hormuz tensions
Resolves: Brent crude price closes above $100 per barrel (monthly average) on any trading day between November 1 and December 31, 2026.
user-generated· price
Oil prices rise above $100 per barrel by December 2026 due to Hormuz…
Market overview
The ongoing maritime disputes and potential supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz are likely to push Brent crude prices above $100 per barrel by the end of 2026. Geopolitical risk premiums often drive such spikes.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Brent crude price closes above $100 per barrel (monthly average) on any trading day between November 1 and December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
More price markets
- Bitcoin price exceeds $150,000 by end of 2026 — 68% Yes
- Bitcoin price recovers to $50,000 by December 2026 — 62% Yes
- Bitcoin price exceeds $100,000 within 6 months of Clarity Act passage — 70% Yes
- Coinbase stock to rise 15% by June 2026 amid crypto regulation clarity — 72% Yes
- NY crypto tax revenue will exceed $200M in 2027 — 65% Yes
- Will stock drop >15% on next financing terms? — 45% Yes
- Will enGene raise additional equity financing before Q1 2027? — 80% Yes
- Trading volume on Kalshi’s crypto futures exceeds $500M in first month — 60% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…