Global single-stock leveraged ETF assets drop 8% by year-end 2026
Resolves: Global assets under management (AUM) in single-stock leveraged ETFs decline by at least 8% from the 2026-06-30 level by year-end 2026, per Bloomberg data.
user-generated· price
Global single-stock leveraged ETF assets drop 8% by year-end 2026
Market overview
Regulatory scrutiny in South Korea, a major market for such products, is likely to trigger global outflows. Global single-stock leveraged ETF assets grew 22% in 2025; a pullback aligns with historical patterns following risk warnings (e.g., -6% in 2022 after SEC scrutiny).
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Global assets under management (AUM) in single-stock leveraged ETFs decline by at least 8% from the 2026-06-30 level by year-end 2026, per Bloomberg data.
Source: user-generated
More price markets
- Bitcoin price exceeds $150,000 by end of 2026 — 68% Yes
- Bitcoin price recovers to $50,000 by December 2026 — 62% Yes
- Bitcoin price exceeds $100,000 within 6 months of Clarity Act passage — 70% Yes
- Coinbase stock to rise 15% by June 2026 amid crypto regulation clarity — 72% Yes
- NY crypto tax revenue will exceed $200M in 2027 — 65% Yes
- Will stock drop >15% on next financing terms? — 45% Yes
- Will enGene raise additional equity financing before Q1 2027? — 80% Yes
- Trading volume on Kalshi’s crypto futures exceeds $500M in first month — 60% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…