Will there be a major jihadist attack in Côte d'Ivoire resulting in 10 or more fatalities by December 31, 2027?

Côte d'Ivoire is on high alert for jihadist threats, particularly in its northern regions, following a decade since a significant attack. The presence of extremist groups in neighboring countries increases the risk of cross-border incursions and attacks.

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2029-08-21