Will the US ISM Manufacturing PMI be above 50 in any month of Q3 2028?

Market overview

The headline suggests a 'muddled recovery' in manufacturing, implying current figures are likely below or barely above 50. This question tests if the sector will show clear expansion within the next quarter. A PMI above 50 indicates expansion.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2030-08-31

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