Will the average UK household energy bill increase by more than 10% by December 31, 2028, compared to its January 1, 2028 level?

The headline suggests a significant impact of the Iran war on energy prices. This question gauges the magnitude of the expected increase for consumers. Resolution will be based on official UK energy regulator (Ofgem) announcements or widely reported average bill figures.

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2030-08-25