user-generated· political
Restore Britain's polling share drops below 10% by October 2026
Market overview
Rupert Lowe's remarks on the Dunblane tragedy draw widespread condemnation, leading to a decline in public support for Restore Britain. Polls show the party's support falling below double digits as voters associate it with extremism.
political prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-10-31
More political markets
- SC Governor McMaster signs maps into law by August 2026 — 80% Yes
- Congress party files no-confidence motion against Modi by 2026-11-15 — 55% Yes
- Labour MPs reach 323 nominations for Burnham by July 17 2026 — 85% Yes
- Reform UK receives over £500k from overseas donors in Q4 2026 — 60% Yes
- Labour loses absolute majority in next UK general election — 65% Yes
- Reform UK membership growth exceeds 150,000 by October 2026 — 55% Yes
- Susan Collins remains favored to win the Senate race — 60% Yes
- Indian opposition Congress files no-confidence motion over award diplomacy by 2027 — 55% Yes
Loading…