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user-generated· tech_stocks

AGI adoption reaches median human capability by 2028

By 2028, at least one commercial AI system will achieve performance equivalent to a median human worker across multiple economically valuable tasks. This will be validated by standardized benchmarks and third-party audits comparing AI output to human benchmarks.

tech_stocks · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2028-12-31

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