Buttigieg's approval rating drops post-endorsement

Market overview

Endorsing a controversial Republican figure like Miller-Turek may alienate liberal Democrats, especially in blue states. Polls show Buttigieg's approval rating at 58% among Democrats; this action could reduce it by at least 3 points.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Source: user-generated

More leadership markets

• Golub Capital’s co-presidents role diluted within 18 months — 70% Yes
• Wes Streeting launches independent Labour faction by 2027-07-15 — 55% Yes
• MI5 leadership faces formal disciplinary review by 2027 — 60% Yes
• Clippers ownership changes by 2027 — 60% Yes
• Keir Starmer resigns as UK Prime Minister within two weeks — 60% Yes
• Founder regains board majority by year-end — 55% Yes
• Keir Starmer resigns as UK PM by end of 2028 — 70% Yes
• Sam Liccardo resigns from World Cup Caucus by December 2026 — 60% Yes

Browse all leadership markets →