Desert rain frog extinction risk increases by 2028
Resolves: The IUCN Red List officially classifies the desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) as Critically Endangered due to documented population decline driven primarily by mining and habitat loss.
user-generated· legal
Desert rain frog extinction risk increases by 2028
Market overview
The desert rain frog's habitat is threatened by diamond mining and climate change. Its population is projected to decline by at least 30% within the next two years, leading to a formal IUCN Red List uplisting to Critically Endangered by 2028.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The IUCN Red List officially classifies the desert rain frog (Breviceps macrops) as Critically Endangered due to documented population decline driven primarily by mining and habitat loss.
Source: user-generated
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