Will a federal court issue an injunction against Alabama's congressional map before the 2028 primary election?

Despite the Supreme Court's temporary allowance, legal challenges to Alabama's congressional map are likely to continue in lower federal courts. Opponents of the map may seek further injunctions based on new legal arguments or evidence, aiming to prevent its use in the upcoming primary elections. However, the Supreme Court's recent action makes such an injunction less probable without a significant change in circumstances or legal strategy.

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2030-09-01