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user-generated· price· Resolved no

S&P 500 closes down >1% on Aug 10, 2026

Market overview

S&P 500 index closes at least 1% lower on the next trading day after the disruption.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
0%
Resolved
2026-10-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

S&P 500 closing price on Aug 10, 2026 is at least 1% below Aug 7, 2026 close.

Source: user-generated

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