Fed signals dovish pivot by December 2026
Resolves: The Fed's December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement or Summary of Economic Projections includes language indicating at least one rate cut is expected or implemented by December 2026.
user-generated· macro
Fed signals dovish pivot by December 2026
Market overview
The Federal Reserve will signal at least one 25-basis-point rate cut by its December 2026 meeting, with initial guidance hinting at cuts as early as September. This reflects weakening inflation and rising unemployment concerns.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-16
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Fed's December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement or Summary of Economic Projections includes language indicating at least one rate cut is expected or implemented by December 2026.
Source: user-generated
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