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UK shellfish price inflation exceeds 20% by Q1 2027 due to marine heatwave impacts

Resolves: UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) or seafood market data shows shellfish prices (e.g., crab, lobster, scallops) increased by at least 20% compared to Q1 2026 levels by 31 Mar 2027

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UK shellfish price inflation exceeds 20% by Q1 2027 due to marine hea…

Market overview

Marine heatwaves reduce shellfish populations by stressing habitats and increasing predation (e.g., octopus). This supply squeeze is expected to drive shellfish prices up sharply, with wholesale or retail prices rising over 20% by March 2027.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2027-03-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) or seafood market data shows shellfish prices (e.g., crab, lobster, scallops) increased by at least 20% compared to Q1 2026 levels by 31 Mar 2027

Source: user-generated

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