Will the United States experience at least one Category 4 or higher hurricane making landfall on its mainland coast by November 30, 2023?

El Niño typically suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity due to increased wind shear. However, the current El Niño is developing, and other factors can influence hurricane seasons. Despite the general trend, extreme events are still possible.

Implied probability (Yes)

35%

Closes

2026-09-09