Will the average price of Brent crude oil exceed $90 per barrel for the entirety of any calendar month before July 1, 2028?

The headline suggests significant disruption to global supply chains, with oil being a primary commodity affected. Geopolitical tensions, particularly involving a major oil-producing region like Iran, often lead to increased oil prices due to supply concerns and risk premiums. This question gauges the sustained impact on oil markets.

Implied probability (Yes)

45%

Closes

2030-07-30