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Shanghai Composite index outperforms S&P 500 in 2026 H2

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Shanghai Composite index outperforms S&P 500 in 2026 H2

Market overview

Chinese equities underperformed in May 2026 due to uncertainty, but a successful Xi-Trump deal would spur a recovery in H2. If trade tensions ease, domestic demand improves, or stimulus measures are enacted, Shanghai Composite could outperform the S&P 500 in the second half of 2026.

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Implied probability (Yes)
60%

Source: user-generated

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