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user-generated· macro

U.S. Social Security trust fund depletion by 2030

The shrinking 45-64 workforce reduces payroll tax revenue, accelerating Social Security trust fund depletion. Current projections from the Social Security Administration in 2025 indicate a 6% annual drawdown in reserves starting in 2027. By 2030, the fund is projected to be depleted unless legislative action is taken.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2030-12-31

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