First Iranian AI unicorn emerges by 2028

Market overview

By December 2028, Iran will produce its first AI startup valued at over $1 billion, driven by sanctions-driven isolation and local market growth. This will be a milestone for the country's tech ecosystem.

adoption prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Source: user-generated

More adoption markets

• Daily active crypto users surpass 100 million by mid-2026 — 60% Yes
• Kalshi’s market share in crypto derivatives surpasses 5% by Q4 2027 — 55% Yes
• Kalshi's crypto perpetual futures launch by 2026-Q4 — 75% Yes
• Family offices double down on crypto-adjacent mining firms within 6 months — 72% Yes
• Nigeria's crypto transaction volume exceeds $5B in 2026 — 80% Yes
• AI and crypto groups increase political ad spending in 2026 midterms — 80% Yes
• Crypto and AI groups double political ad spending by 2027 — 75% Yes
• Crypto billionaire Harborne will increase donations to Farage by 20% by Mar 2027 — 60% Yes

Browse all adoption markets →