Turkey to re-enter F-35 program within 18 months
Resolves: Turkey resumes active participation (e.g., receiving aircraft, training pilots, or contributing to production) in the F-35 program as confirmed by U.S. or NATO officials.
user-generated· event
Turkey to re-enter F-35 program within 18 months
Market overview
Despite legal obstacles, Trump leverages political capital to push for Turkey’s re-entry into the F-35 program by 2027. Congress and defense contractors will capitulate to avoid a NATO rift, approving a conditional waiver.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 40%
- Closes
- 2027-07-07
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Turkey resumes active participation (e.g., receiving aircraft, training pilots, or contributing to production) in the F-35 program as confirmed by U.S. or NATO officials.
Source: user-generated
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