Tech stocks underperform broader market in H2 2028

Market overview

The Nasdaq Composite will decline 5% or more relative to the S&P 500 between July and December 2025. High labor costs and wage compression in tech will erode profit margins, while lower-wage sectors like retail outperform.

tech_stocks prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Closes

2028-12-31

Source: user-generated

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