user-generated· macro
July 2026 U.S. presidential approval rating rises 3+ points post-July…
Trump's rally is designed to boost his image ahead of the 2026 midterms, with pre-event polls showing approval at 44%. Post-rally approval typically rises by 2–4 points for presidents holding high-profile events during election years.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-07-25
More macro markets
- Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
- S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
- Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
- Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
- Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
- Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
- NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes
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