Will any official legal action or formal investigation be initiated against Roman Polanski in the UK related to his social media post about the Golders Green incident by June 30, 2027?

While his post was controversial, it's a significant step from a social media comment to formal legal action, especially for someone not directly involved in the incident. UK law on incitement or public order offenses would need to be considered, and such cases are often high-bar.

Implied probability (Yes)

10%

Closes

2029-07-30