user-generated· Legal
Will any official legal action or formal investigation be initiated a…
Market overview
While his post was controversial, it's a significant step from a social media comment to formal legal action, especially for someone not directly involved in the incident. UK law on incitement or public order offenses would need to be considered, and such cases are often high-bar.
Legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 10%
- Closes
- 2029-07-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if any UK law enforcement agency (e.g., Metropolitan Police) or prosecutorial body (e.g., Crown Prosecution Service) publicly announces the initiation of a formal investigation or legal proceedings against Roman Polanski directly related to his social media post about the Golders Green incident. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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