Jeffries fails to secure speaker vote on first ballot in January 2027

Despite expectations, Hakeem Jeffries will fail to secure the necessary votes on the first ballot for speaker in January 2027 due to sustained opposition from the growing Jeffries-skeptic caucus and lack of alternative leadership.

politics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2027-01-03

More politics markets

• JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
• Border Security breaks new record this year? — 49% Yes
• Will Supreme Court Justices dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 56% Yes
• Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
• Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
• Energy Independence major announcement before July 2026? — 55% Yes
• Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 1% Yes
• Will Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? — 0% Yes

Browse all politics markets →