Anthropic's market share in AI coding tools drops below 15% by Q3 2027

OpenAI claims GPT-5.6 Sol outperforms Anthropic's Fable by 2.8 points in the Coding Agent Index while using fewer resources. By Q3 2027, Anthropic's market share in AI coding tools (as measured by enterprise adoption and benchmark rankings) will fall below 15%.

market share · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2027-09-30

More market share markets

• Verizon Postpaid Subscriber Market Share — 70% Yes
• Global Market Share in Paints and Coatings for FY2026 — 75% Yes
• FCX Global Copper Market Share Expansion — 60% Yes
• WWR Market Share Expansion Prediction — 55% Yes
• MH Market Share Expansion in Education Publishing — 60% Yes
• Luminar Technologies: New OEM Design Wins in 2026 — 80% Yes
• HPQ PC Market Share Dynamics — 70% Yes
• Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. - Market Share Expansion — 50% Yes

Browse all market share markets →