user-generated· macro
US 10-year Treasury yields exceed 4.5% by October 2026
Heightened inflation expectations due to geopolitical risks and potential oil price spikes are likely to push US Treasury yields higher. Market pricing will reflect increased concerns over persistent inflation and Fed policy response.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-10-31
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