Will Christine Lagarde, President of the ECB, explicitly state in a public address or press conference that 'inflation is transitory' at any point between now and August 31, 2022?

With officials considering rate hikes, the narrative around inflation may shift. This question gauges whether the ECB leadership maintains its previous stance on inflation's nature amidst evolving policy discussions.

Implied probability (Yes)

20%

Closes

2026-09-09