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Hamas rejects unconditional disarmament by end of 2026

Resolves: Hamas has not agreed to disarm without preconditions by that date.

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user-generated· event

Hamas rejects unconditional disarmament by end of 2026

Market overview

Hamas does not publicly accept disarmament without Israel's withdrawal by 2026-12-31.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Hamas has not agreed to disarm without preconditions by that date.

Source: user-generated

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