user-generated· event
Mitch McConnell resigns Senate seat by 2026-08-02
Kentucky law triggers a special election if a vacancy occurs before August 3, 2026. Given the recent health rumors, GOP leadership engagement, and lack of official updates, a resignation is more likely than not to occur before this deadline.
event · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-08-02
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