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Bluesky reaches 50M active users by Dec 2026

Resolves: Bluesky reports at least 50 million monthly active users in its official 2026 Q4 user metrics report.

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user-generated· adoption

Bluesky reaches 50M active users by Dec 2026

Market overview

Under Schneider's permanent leadership, Bluesky will accelerate user growth by focusing on smaller, private communities. The platform's unique AT Protocol and decentralized model will attract disillusioned social media users from X/Twitter.

adoption prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Bluesky reports at least 50 million monthly active users in its official 2026 Q4 user metrics report.

Source: user-generated

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