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user-generated· regulatory

Deep-sea mining approvals will exceed 2025 levels by end-2026

Market overview

Given the IUCN's warning about deep-sea mining threatening 66% of deep-sea molluscs, and rising industrial interest in seabed resources, regulatory bodies will approve more mining permits in 2026 than in 2025. Economic pressures and technological advancements will outweigh conservation concerns.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

The total number of deep-sea mining permits approved by global regulatory bodies in 2026 exceeds the total approved in 2025.

Source: user-generated

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