Skip to main content

Disaster-driven displacements fall below 28 million in 2026

Make a pick
user-generated· event

Disaster-driven displacements fall below 28 million in 2026

Market overview

Disaster-driven internal displacements declined to 29.9 million in 2025, marking the first time conflict-driven displacements surpassed them. Continued improvements in disaster resilience and early warning systems are expected to further reduce this figure in 2026.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%

Source: user-generated

More event markets

Browse all event markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…