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Microsoft reduces in-house MAI model usage in Copilot 365 by end of 2026

Resolves: Microsoft publicly states or demonstrates a reduction in MAI model usage in Copilot 365 by at least 50% compared to the peak usage reported in June 2026, confirmed through official blog posts, earnings calls, or technical documentation.

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user-generated· event

Microsoft reduces in-house MAI model usage in Copilot 365 by end of 2…

Market overview

Despite initial reports of Microsoft replacing OpenAI's models with in-house MAI models to cut costs, Microsoft will pivot back toward OpenAI's models, reducing MAI usage by at least 50% by December 2026. This shift will be driven by performance or cost inefficiencies in MAI models.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
55%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Microsoft publicly states or demonstrates a reduction in MAI model usage in Copilot 365 by at least 50% compared to the peak usage reported in June 2026, confirmed through official blog posts, earnings calls, or technical documentation.

Source: user-generated

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