Labour MPs will trigger formal leadership challenge to Starmer by 2028

Market overview

Catherine West’s public criticism signals a potential domino effect among disaffected Labour MPs. If dissatisfaction spreads, a formal leadership challenge could emerge by December 2024, as per Labour Party rules requiring 20% MP support.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2028-12-31

Source: user-generated

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