Will the U.S. lift any existing sanctions against Iran by April 30, 2024, as a direct result of the 'agreement to end war'?

An 'agreement to end war' would likely involve concessions from both sides, and the lifting of sanctions is a key demand from Iran. This question tests whether the agreement will translate into concrete policy changes from the U.S. within a reasonable timeframe. Sanctions relief is a complex political decision.

Implied probability (Yes)

25%

Closes

2026-09-11