Mojtaba Khamenei to consolidate power by end of 2026
Resolves: Mojtaba Khamenei holds a position of increased political authority (e.g., Supreme Leader, President, or equivalent) without significant rival factions challenging his ascent.
user-generated· leadership
Mojtaba Khamenei to consolidate power by end of 2026
Market overview
Despite his absence from the funeral, Mojtaba Khamenei's succession is expected given his familial ties and the Islamic Republic's dynastic tendencies. The regime will likely use the post-funeral period to stabilize his leadership through purges and reshuffles.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Mojtaba Khamenei holds a position of increased political authority (e.g., Supreme Leader, President, or equivalent) without significant rival factions challenging his ascent.
Source: user-generated
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