McConnell resigns from Senate before August 3, 2026

Senate Majority Leader John Thune and other GOP leaders have directly communicated with McConnell, but unverified rumors from MAGA influencers persist. Kentucky law requires a special election within 60 days if a vacancy occurs before August 3. Given the pressure and speculation, McConnell is more likely to step down than remain hospitalized indefinitely.

politics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-08-02

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