Will China be explicitly named as one of the economies targeted by new U.S. tariffs over forced labor by June 30, 2027?

China has frequently been cited by the U.S. for forced labor concerns, particularly in Xinjiang. This question assesses the likelihood of China being a direct target of these newly proposed tariffs, given the ongoing geopolitical tensions and existing trade measures. While China is often implicated in such discussions, direct new tariffs specifically on forced labor could escalate tensions further.

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2029-09-01