Nikkei 225 drops below 30,000 by July 2026 due to rising yields

The Nikkei 225 index will fall below the 30,000 mark by July 2026 as higher bond yields reduce the attractiveness of equities and erode corporate profitability forecasts. The decline will be exacerbated by BoJ's gradual tightening measures.

Implied probability (Yes)

60%