user-generated· regulatory
US imposes no new tariffs on China in second half of 2026
Market overview
Greer’s emphasis on tangible returns suggests de-escalation in trade tensions. No new tariffs would signal sustained progress in trade rebalancing talks.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 58%
Source: user-generated
More regulatory markets
- FIFA reinstates Balogun suspension within 30 days — 70% Yes
- UK issues travel advisory warning for southern Spain by 2026-07-25 — 80% Yes
- FIFA faces formal ethics complaint from UEFA by July 2026 — 75% Yes
- DCCC dues payment compliance increases by 2026 midterms — 75% Yes
- Forge Global secures Anthropic approval within 6 months — 75% Yes
- UK government increases teacher pay offer by 2%+ in 2027 — 45% Yes
- FIFA issues formal disciplinary action against Trump by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
- FIFA issues formal reprimand against U.S. Soccer for Trump interference — 75% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…