user-generated· adoption
Bud’s user base migrates 90% to Figma’s native tools by July 2027
Figma requires Bud and Orchids users to migrate projects by July 18, 2026, under the acquisition. Given Figma’s ecosystem integration and Bud’s shutdown timeline, a significant portion of its user base is expected to adopt Figma’s native tools within a year.
adoption · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2027-07-18
More adoption markets
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage exceeds desktop by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage surpasses desktop within 6 months — 70% Yes
- PGA Tour Shop app downloads increase 25% YoY in 2026 — 68% Yes
- Bluesky's AT Protocol gains adoption by 3 major third-party apps by Q1 2027 — 55% Yes
- iOS 27 public release sees 20% adoption within first 6 weeks — 60% Yes
- Animal rights NGOs expand operations in Uganda by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Passive ETF inflows into SpaceX exceed $1.5 billion by October 2026 — 55% Yes
- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
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