Will the average rent in San Francisco, CA decrease by more than 5% by Q4 2024?

The headline suggests a potential 'housing bust' related to H-1B visa holders, who are often concentrated in tech hubs. A significant decrease in demand from this demographic could impact rental prices in cities like San Francisco. This question assesses whether this impact will be substantial enough to cause a notable decline in average rent.

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2026-09-01