UK Parliament passes amendment to deport Shabir Ahmed by 2026-12-31
Resolves: UK Parliament enacts legislation explicitly enabling the deportation of Shabir Ahmed by this date.
user-generated· legal
UK Parliament passes amendment to deport Shabir Ahmed by 2026-12-31
Market overview
The UK government will successfully amend the 1971 Immigration Act to allow the deportation of Shabir Ahmed. The amendment will pass through Parliament by December 31, 2026, despite potential legal challenges and delays.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UK Parliament enacts legislation explicitly enabling the deportation of Shabir Ahmed by this date.
Source: user-generated
More legal markets
- Hengli Group's Singapore operations cease by 2026-11-30 — 65% Yes
- Associated Newspapers' court ruling against Harry to be upheld on appeal by Dec 2026 — 70% Yes
- Will the California couple's case, regarding the shooting death of their son-in-law, go to trial before a jury by December 31, 2027? — 55% Yes
- British Steel nationalized by December 2027 — 75% Yes
- Supreme Court agrees to hear appeal of tariff ruling by 2027 — 60% Yes
- Supreme Court declines to intervene in Tennessee redistricting case — 62% Yes
- Wildlife trafficking crackdown increases parrot egg seizures — 70% Yes
- Democrats file federal lawsuits challenging state election laws pre-2026 midterms — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…